Developing New Future Scenarios for the U.S. Coast Guard's Evergreen Strategic Foresight Program
Abbie Tingstad; Michael T Wilson; Katherine Anania; Jordan R Fischbach; Susan A Resetar; Scott Savitz; Kristin Van Abel; R J Briggs; Aaron C Davenport; Stephanie Pezard; Kristin Sereyko; Jonathan Theel; Marc Thibault; Edward Ulin
RAND
2020
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The U. S. Coast Guard's motto is Semper Paratus--always ready. But for what? This report describes an approach to developing scenarios to aid in decisionmaking under deep uncertainty through the Evergreen strategic foresight initiative. The scenarios presented here focus on readiness, but the approach can be adapted for other contexts.