North Korean Decisionmaking
John V Parachini; Scott W Harold; Gian Gentile; Derek Grossman; Leah Heejin Kim; Logan Ma; Michael J Mazarr; Linda Robinson
RAND
2020
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The authors examine (1) the experiences of North Korea and three similar authoritarian regimes-China, Vietnam, and Cuba-to forecast why and how North Korea might adopt a new economic model; (2) what might happen if conventional deterrence fails on the Korean Peninsula; and (3) what might lead North Korea to use nuclear weapons.