United States Army Command and General S

This monograph studies the question of how military planners should assess insurgencies prior to the commitment to major military operations. Itreviews three assessment methodologies - the Interagency Conflict Assessment Framework, the Guide for the Analysis of Insurgency, and theAnny Design Methodology - and then employs each tool against a set of three insurgent case studies. Finally, the study draws conclusions about theapplicability of each approach to the basic question, and recommends that when time permits, a specific blended approach should be used.

The purpose of this monograph is to examine a new way for the United States military to conduct theater security cooperation in sub-Saharan Africa in order to help address the infrastructure deficit found across this environment. This study will focus on examining the utility of establishing or expanding the engineer capabilities of select African militaries in order to help these nations develop their national infrastructure and help enable the African security brigades. This dual-use capability will help the United States indirectly achieve its national security objectives. Expanding national infrastructure will promote economic growth and stability. In times of crisis, it is envisioned that the engineer units can be used to help the regional brigades operate in the austere environment of sub-Saharan Africa. This aid program is purposefully designed to supplement the work of other aid programs being executed by the United Statesgovernment and other key partners. Simply developing a tactical engineer capability is not enough. The tactical ability isdesigned to operate in a whole-of-government approach to reinforce the success of other programs. Targeted nations mustdemonstrate the potential to successfully maintain this capability and put it to good use before precious American tax dollarsare spent. In order to analyze this proposal, the infrastructure of four sub-Saharan African nations will be examined todetermine if a military engineer asset would prove useful. The analysis will conclude by showing that expanding the engineercapabilities of select African militaries is of marginal utility in expanding national infrastructure and increasing theoperational effectiveness of the security brigades.